2034 Cuba

This topic contains 30 replies, has 13 voices, and was last updated by  Roswell CAN 6 years, 9 months ago.

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  • #3782
     Moca DOM 
    Spectator

    La Habanna gets a great game 7 win to take out Busan.

    Oaxaca wins 68 games but finishes just barely in 2nd

  • #25123
     La Habana KOR 
    Spectator

    back to Canada 🙁

  • #25315
     Puerto Plata USA 
    Spectator

    Cuba League Preview

    2033 Records:

    Maracaibo defeats Roswell 4-3 in the Cuba Championship

    LAD Divison:
    Roswell Invasion 69-51
    Oaxaca Nueve Garras de Jaguar 63-57
    Rizao Rally Cats 57-63
    Azua Tortugas 52-68

    LOD Division:
    Maracaibo Jackals 74-46
    Puerto Plata Pumas 59-61
    Santurce de Cangrejeros 53-67
    Toa Baja Coquis 53-67

    New to Cuba for 2034:
    La Habana Los Leones 76-44 (CAN) – LAD Division
    Busan Burning Dragons 77-43 (KOR) – LOD Division
    Tocumen Pollo Diablo 55-65 (USA) – LOD Division

    Top Players Listed by Total Players per Team (before Spring Training):
    Rizao (7 players; 3 position players & 4 SP)
    La Habana (6 players; 2 position players & 4 SP)
    Roswell (6 players; 4 position players & 2 SP)
    Tocumen (6 players; 4 position players, 1 MR & 1 SP)
    Busan (5 players; 2 position players & 3 SP)
    Santurce (5 players; 2 position players & 3 SP)
    Puerto Plata (4 players; 2 position players & 2 SP)

    Top Players Listed by Point System per Team (before Spring Training):
    La Habana (81 points)
    Roswell (77 points)
    Busan (74 points)
    Tocumen (70 points)
    Santurce (43 points)
    Puerto Plata (39 points)
    Rizao (32 points)

    Note: The point system is simple. I used the “Top Players” in game with the top hitter getting 20 points all the way down to the 20th best hitter getting 1 point. Same with pitchers. Therefore, more weight is given to the players at the top of the list.

    Evaluation based on Top Players Report:
    There are four teams (La Habana, Roswell, Busan and Tocumen) who definitely appear to be the favorites going into the season with top talent.
    La Habana has 2 position players in top 5 and 3 SP in the top 10. I would consider them to the favorite of the four based on this information.
    Rizao could surprise some teams with great depth. All of the their 7 players are between 14-20 but that doesn’t mean they cannot be very successful.
    Santurce and Puerto Plata have an uphill battle but they do have enough top talent (according to the game report) to still be relevant and possibly surprise some teams.

    Offseason Summary Overview (from game) – Teams sorted by WAR gained:
    Puerto Plata Pumas (4.5)
    Tocumen Pollo Diablo (3.2)
    Santurce de Cangrejeros (2.6)
    Oaxaca Nueve Garras de Jaguar (-0.1)
    Rizao Rally Cats (0.0)
    La Habana Los Leones (-1.1)
    Roswell Invasion (-3.3)
    Busan Burning Dragons (-7.4)

    Top Players Listed by Total Players per Team (after Spring Training):
    La Habana (7 players; 3 position players & 4 SP)
    Rizao (6 players; 3 position players & 3 SP)
    Tocumen (6 players; 4 position players, 1 SP & 1 RP)
    Busan (6 players; 2 position players & 4 SP)
    Puerto Plata (5 players; 4 position players & 2 SP)
    Roswell (5 players; 3 position players & 2 SP)
    Santurce (5 players; 2 position players & 3 SP)

    Top Players Listed by Point System per Team (after Spring Training):
    La Habana (87 points)
    Roswell (72 points)
    Busan (72 points)
    Tocumen (63 points)
    Puerto Plata (48 points)
    Santurce (44 points)
    Rizao (34 points)

    Team Previews – Latitude Division (LAD):

    La Habana Los Leones (76-44, CAN Champs)

    Notable Additions:

    SP Jose Salazar – Came over in a trade and is a top of rotation type starting pitcher that will take over as the ace and will help ease the loss of Hector Cesena.

    Notable Losses:

    SP Hector Cesena – Loss to free agency but not a huge loss with the addition of Salazar.

    RP Currito Scandoval – Veteran (39 years old) reliever who has put together two solid seasons but can be easily replaced.

    Strengths – Strong rotation with five solid pitchers. Should be able to run out a quality starting pitcher every game of the season. Middle of order is dangerous with Daniel Campolito, Taek-hyu Park and Pacio Davim primed to terrorize Cuban pitchers.

    Weaknesses – Bullpen could be a little of a weakness but could be a limited weakness if the starting pitchers can go deep into games. May need to find a way to produce runs in the bottom of the order but 3-5 should be able to do enough most of the time.

    Prediction – La Habana will be one of the favorites in LAD this season. I don’t see a 76 win season from them as their division is very strong but I definitely see 65-72 wins and a good chance of representing their division in the championship.

    Roswell Invasion (69-51, 1st place LAD)

    Notable Additions:

    SS John Hussey – Superior defender at both SS and 2B with unbelievable range and arm. His offense is very limited but his defense is good enough for him to be a starter. He should be a great backup on the infield and can be a defensive sub at the end of games when needed.

    RP Jorge Datil – Good quiet signing. He will be the team’s lefty specialists and has had good numbers in the past in this kind of role. This addition will not make any headlines but the move fills a need for the team.

    Notable Losses:

    3B Jose Olivares – Veteran (36 years old) 3B who had a very good season in 2033 for Roswell. He isn’t a power hitter but he gets on base along with not striking out much and therefore was a solid hitter that Roswell will miss.

    CF Estevan Solgado – Veteran (35 years old) outfielder who served primarily as a backup last season. He was a good power option in his prime a few seasons ago but is not a huge loss.

    SP Tadayuki Ekiguchi – Veteran (34 years old) starting pitcher who started 24 games for Roswell last season. He was slightly above average SP last season and should be able to be replaced fairly easy.

    Strengths – The top of the rotation could be a strength for Roswell. The top three each had an ERA under 3.40 last season but one of those three (Seong-chae Yi) pitched strictly as a relief pitcher. It will be interesting to see how he fairs as a starter with only two pitches. The 2-4 hitters in the order will be very productive. Xavier Mathieu, Joon-suk Pae and Sancho Alfonso combined for 72 home runs last season and each were around .400 OBP.

    Weaknesses – The middle inning relievers could be point of weakness. They have a really good closer type in Quint O’Neal who has a ton of talent and pitched unreal last season. The defense could be some concern for the team. They have great defenders at SS and 3B but only above average or average at all other positions.

    Prediction – I foresee Roswell being close to the top or at the top of their division the entire season. I think it is realistic to say they should win between 65-70 games if they are able to replace the players they lost this offseason with good in-house players.

    Rizao Rally Cats (57-63, 3rd place LAD)

    Notable Additions – No notable additions this offseason

    Notable Losses – No notable losses this offseason

    Strengths – The Rally Cats have a couple arms (Aronne Beauregard and Alejandro Ramirez) in their pen that were productive last season. If Beauregard can work around all of the walks he issues (more than one per inning) then the team should be able to close games if the starters can give them a lead by the 8th inning. The lineup has two hitters (Juan Rosas and Wilson Hernandez) who are complete hitters with very little weaknesses. They will make up the 3-4 part of the lineup and will be expected to be the main run producers.

    Weaknesses – The rotation saw seven different pitchers in the rotation last season with only one (Jesus Fuentes) having above average season. Other than Rosas and Hernandez, there isn’t much in the terms of a run producing hitter. The offense could struggle at times to score runs if opposing pitchers stay away from Rosas and Hernandez and force the rest of the lineup to beat them.

    Prediction – With not much action so far this offseason I think the team will stay in the 53-58 win range. They could jump over 60 wins if some of their non-key players have significantly better seasons in 2034 compared to last season.

    Oaxaca Nueve Garras de Jaguar (63-57, 2nd place LAD)

    Notable Additions:

    3B Fu-chi Mak – Very solid younger (28 years old) 3B that should be able to productive for the next 4 seasons. He signed a good a reasonable contract (4 years @ $10.4M per season with team option) and should produce up to that contract for all 4 seasons. His career production is .299/.373/.415 and bounce back from probably his worst season in WBH so far. He is slotted in the lineup at #5 and will be counted on to drive in some runs.

    SS Takayuki Hayagawa – Solid infielder with good defense at all four infield positions. He is slated to be the starting SS and #2 hole in the lineup. He is a career .282/.369/.360 hitter. He should get on base with hopes of scoring a lot of runs. He lacks power but does almost everything else well.

    RP Estefan Moroa – Power relief pitcher with great stuff, two plus-plus pitches (fastball and slider) and velocity that is top notch (98-100 MPH). He strikes out well above a batter per inning but does have some control problems. If he can limit big innings and base runners he should be a productive pitcher for the bullpen.

    RP Armando Baejo – Another power arm for the bullpen. The main differences compared to Moroa is he is twice as expensive, much better control and much younger (only 26 years old). He posses two plus-plus pitches (sinker and slider) and has be very productive already as a closer in his young career.

    SP Marque Guzman – This 19 year old prospect came over in a trade and should be a major league arm in only a few seasons. He is very well developed already for a 19 year old and will be exciting to see how he develops.

    Notable Losses:

    SP Javier Rivera – Veteran (34 years old) starting pitcher who had a very solid season (2.91 ERA and 1.18 WHIP).

    RF Lupe Rojany – Veteran (35 years old) outfielder whose production will be missed. Has career production of .279/.368/.446 but his age made it easy for the team to move in another direction. He will be replaced in RF by the younger Greg Barber.

    Strengths – The top three in the rotation (Gerardo Varillas, Seong-ho Pae and Chae-hyeong Ki) had good seasons in 2033 and if they can repeat and/or get better in 2034 the team will see similar success. The bullpen is the real strength of the pitching staff. The team has three shut down types (Jae-ik Han, Armando Baejo and Estefan Mora) that should be able to close games out if the starters can keep a lead into the 7th inning.

    Weaknesses – The lineup consists of 5 players that hit between 10-20 home runs last season but it lacks a stud hitter that can carry the team.

    Prediction – The team was very active this offseason and it will be interesting to see how it pays off for the team. I predict 60-65 wins but think 65+ wins is possible if some of the free agent signings have good seasons and the offense can outperform expectations.

    Team Previews – Longitude Division (LOD):

    Tocumen Pollo Diablo (55-65, 4th place LOD USA)

    Notable Additions:

    3B Jose Olivares – He was signed very late in free agency but he will provide a very solid bat for one season. His age (36 years old) will be a concern but the team is probably confident he will still be productive for one more season. He should fit into the lineup nicely and provide above average defense at 3B.

    Notable Losses:

    1B Jang-lu Wan – Veteran (36 years old) first basemen will not be in the lineup this coming season. His AVG and OBP were below average but he made up for them with his power and ability to drive in runs. The team will have to find a way to replace his 20+ HRs and 60+ RBI in 2034.

    RP Benicio Orduno – Veteran (35 years old) relief pitcher who was only used in 16 games for a total of 23 innings. His ERA was decent but overall he should be difficult to replace with in-house options.

    3B Kawanari Kuwano – Veteran (37 years old) infielder who served as a backup most of the season.

    2B Efrain Bencoma – Veteran (40 years old) infielder who got 256 at-bats and provided solid production (.272/.351/.375). His age made it easy for the team to move on and go with other options to fill his role.

    Strengths – The top 7 hitters (with the addition of Olivares) will be very solid the entire season. The offense will be leaned on a lot during the season in order to keep the team in games. The top 6 hitters batting averages last season were .282, .295, .307, .332, .282, .262, and .291.

    Weaknesses – The starting rotation struggled last season in the USA league and appears to lack a top of rotation type. Their starting pitchers should have better stats in 2034 with the drop to the second tier but they will still be a concern for management most of the season. Only one starting pitcher (David Gutierrez) had an ERA below 4.30 last season. The offense will need to score a lot of runs if that stays the same this season. The bullpen also struggled last season. The team did not have a reliever with an ERA below 3.86 last season.

    Prediction – It is hard to predict how successful Tocumen will be coming down from USA to Cuba. If they can get better production from their pitchers then I think 60-65 wins is possible with the offense they will have this season. However, I could also see a 55-60 win season if the pitching staff continues to struggle.

    Busan Burning Dragons (77-43, KOR Champs)

    Notable Additions:

    SP Antonio Chavez – Very solid ratings with 3 plus-plus pitches and great velocity (94-96 MPH). He has put up solid number with Tijuana for the past 9 seasons. Busan is hoping he will continue to pitch up to his ability for many more seasons since they have gave him a 6 year contract.

    3B Danilo Hernandez – Veteran (37 years old) infielder that is a very good on-base hitter that walks almost as much as he strikes out. He is listed as a 3B but his only defensive rating is at 1B. It will be interesting to see how Busan decides to use him. He has limited power but could be a good top or bottom of the order type.

    SS Naomi Yamashita – Veteran (40 years old) infielder who has a career numbers of .286/.340/426. However, his numbers have gradually declined the last 3 seasons with age so it will be interesting to see what kind of season he puts up in 2034 and for the remainder of the 4 year contract.

    Notable Losses:

    SP George Ramos – Big loss for the Dragons. His 4.15 ERA isn’t great but the rest of his numbers outstanding. He was 16-5 last season and carried the pitching staff. Chavez was brought in to replace Ramos and will be a very good replacement.

    1B George Peyton – This was a big loss to the Dragons. His career numbers are .302/.382/.514 with 20+ HRs and 75+ RBI almost every season. The only negative to his game is that he is below average defensively.

    LF Simon Cantin – Bench player who had a nice season (.267/.355) in only 191 ABs. His best part of his game is his defense which makes him a perfect 4th outfielder type.

    3B Dong-po Bi – Bench player who hit only .186 last season in 129 ABs. He should be able to replaced easily.

    Strengths – The lineup will miss Peyton but it still has 4-5 solid hitters that should be able to produce runs over the course of the season. There are several good power arms at the back end of the bullpen that should make closing out games very easy. The question will be will the rotation be able to get the power arms the leads on a daily basis.

    Weaknesses – The team defense could be hurting at times. There are a couple really good defenders and there are a couple below average.

    Prediction – The team had a great season in South Korea but the key to the season will be will they be able to continue that success in Cuba with the players they lost this offsesaon. I will predict between 62-66 wins but could be more if the offense shines and the starting rotation pitches above expectations.

    Puerto Plata Pumas (59-61, 2nd place LOD)

    Notable Additions:

    1B Ivan Melero – Big power bat but is age could be a concern toward the end of the 4 year contract. He is a career ..296/.392/.495 hitter that will be counted on to hit 23+ HRs and drive in 70+ RBI for the season from the #4 spot. He was probably overpaid so it will be interesting to see how this free agent signing pans out over the course of the next 4 seasons.

    SP Akihisa Morisita – Came over in a trade and will be a power pitcher in the rotation. He will be placed in the #2 spot of the rotation. He has only pitched in the lower division so it will be interesting to see how he produces in the Cuba league. He has a career 3.09 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.

    SP Javy Manriquez – Was a highly rated prospect until he reached the Major League level. He has pitched mainly out of the bullpen so far the past 2 seasons but should get plenty of innings pitched out of the starting rotation this season from the #5 spot. He is a wild card.

    RP Blas Eizaguirre – He is a good young (26 years old) reliever who is coming off a terrible season. He was probably signed for more than his worth and for more years than he deserves. He has shown upside in the past but comes into the season as a wild card.

    Notable Losses:

    RP Have-nim Pak – This loss really hurt the team. He is one of the best relievers in the game and a player management should have resigned. His loss will be felt the entire season and for many seasons down the road.

    CF Charlie Rose – He has put up very good numbers both offensively and defensively. His defense is what he is most known for and will certainly be missed. The team felt there was a younger and cheaper option available and only time will tell if the decision to let Rose go was a good one.

    Strengths – The starting rotation could be a strength if Morisita and Manriquez can produce at the level the team expects. If they struggle the rotation could be very average. The lineup doesn’t appear to have many glaring weaknesses but there aren’t many outstanding hitters either. The defense should be pretty good and could really help the pitching staff.

    Weaknesses – The bullpen could be an area of concern for this team. Losing their closer will really hurt Puerto Plata. With the exception of Melero, the lineup does not have much power or run producing hitters.

    Prediction – If all goes well for Puerto Plata, they could win around 65 games and be relevant in their division. The worst case will be below .500 season in a very competitive league with the possibility of being regulated to the lower tier.

    Santurce de Cangrejeros (53-67, 3rd place LOD)

    Notable Additions:

    3B David Zayas – Very solid hitter with no weaknesses and solid ratings across the board. He should hit around .280/.370 with 20+ HRs and 70+ RBI.

    Notable Losses:

    SP Honorato Punte – Only started 4 games last season and was primarily used in middle relief. He has been inconsistant in the past and the team should be able to find a replacement in house.

    3B Ryobe Sakei – The team upgraded at 3B by replacing Sakei with Zayas. He hasn’t played up to his talent the past two seasons so maybe a team change was best for Sakei.

    1B Mao Huang – Veteran (37 years old) first basemen that has declined the past couple seasons.

    Strengths – The bullpen has three good relievers (Miguel Ramirez, Efrain Leyva and Zong-yuan Rang) that should be able to close games out. The middle of the order (David Zayas and Antonio Carrillo/Pedro Montes) should put up very good numbers.

    Weaknesses – The rotation had only one pitcher (Luis Gruyon) with 10+ wins and ERA under 4.00 last season. I do think Jen-kan Jung will have a better season and should be a solid ace for the team very soon.

    Prediction – I think the team will increase their win total in 2034 but not sure how much. I think 55-60 wins is realistic but 65+ is possible.

  • #25317
     Taegu JPN 
    Spectator

    wow Andy, that’s fantastic. I’d love to see an analysis like that for VEN

  • #25318
     Moca DOM 
    Spectator

    @Taegu (VEN) wrote:

    wow Andy, that’s fantastic. I’d love to see an analysis like that for VEN

    YEs what he said

  • #25325
     La Habana KOR 
    Spectator

    I am still working on VEN, should have something done late tonight! Been kind of busy traveling and such… Cap_PDT_01_11 Oh yea, excellent write up, concise and well researched, and liked your pt system!

  • #25330
     Oaxaca JPN 
    Spectator

    Awesome League Preview!!!

    Good luck to everyone.

  • #25331
     Bocas del Toro VEN 
    Spectator

    Awesome write up…you make mine look bad 🙂

  • #25405
     Puerto Plata USA 
    Spectator

    Glad everyone liked the preview. I had fun putting it together and it definitely helped me get familiar with the league.

    I have added to the preview. I took a look at the Top Players list now that Spring Training is complete and noticed it changed a little bit. I put the changes in the preview and below in this post.

    Top Players Listed by Total Players per Team (after Spring Training):
    La Habana (7 players; 3 position players & 4 SP)
    Rizao (6 players; 3 position players & 3 SP)
    Tocumen (6 players; 4 position players, 1 SP & 1 RP)
    Busan (6 players; 2 position players & 4 SP)
    Puerto Plata (5 players; 4 position players & 2 SP)
    Roswell (5 players; 3 position players & 2 SP)
    Santurce (5 players; 2 position players & 3 SP)

    Top Players Listed by Point System per Team (after Spring Training):
    La Habana (87 points)
    Roswell (72 points)
    Busan (72 points)
    Tocumen (63 points)
    Puerto Plata (48 points)
    Santurce (44 points)
    Rizao (34 points)

  • #25554
     Busan CUB 
    Spectator

    off to a horriable start to the year… I need pitching help asap …

  • #25614
     Roswell CAN 
    Spectator

    Andy, like others have already said….. Awesome preview and in depth coverage!

  • #25627
     Puerto Plata USA 
    Spectator

    Thanks Michael. I am interested in seeing how my analysis holds up over the course of this season. I will definitely be interested in doing one similar to it for the next season.

  • #25632
     La Habana KOR 
    Spectator

    yea, I would love to continue this and have the same people volunteer every year so that we can have all the leagues done every year. I enjoy reading them and doing them as well…keeps me connected to the league!

  • #25651
     Rizao CUB 
    Spectator

    Sorry I am late to chime in on this but yes, great synopsis!

  • #25790
     Maracaibo USA 
    Spectator

    Tight race in the LAD. All four teams within 5 games at the season’s mid-point.

    Rizao Rally Cats 33-27, –
    Roswell Invasion 32-28, 1.0
    La Habana Los Leones 30-30, 3.0
    Oaxaca Nueve Garras de Jaguar 28-32, 5.0

  • #25998
     La Habana KOR 
    Spectator

    Well, with the season coming near an end…we are in 1st but I don’t feel like a first place team…it is anyone’s division!

  • #26089
     Bocas del Toro VEN 
    Spectator

    I can’t believe the Latitude division…3 teams tied for first with the 4th team a game back. I’ve never seen anything like this before. Any single team could get relegated or promoted

  • #26094
     Toluca KOR 
    Spectator

    @Bocas del Toro (USA) wrote:

    I can’t believe the Latitude division…3 teams tied for first with the 4th team a game back. I’ve never seen anything like this before. Any single team could get relegated or promoted

    wow!

  • #26104
     Roswell CAN 
    Spectator

    I have been pretty busy so haven’t been able to chime in but GREAT race in the Latitude Division. I’m in last place but just 1 GB! Don’t know how much more heated a race can get than that!

  • #26117
     Rizao CUB 
    Spectator

    This is the most ridiculous race I have ever seen! Three teams tied and one team 1 GB. Wowzers.

  • #26118
     Toluca KOR 
    Spectator

    let’s just hope there are no ootp effed up tie breaking hoops to go through…

  • #26121
     Oaxaca JPN 
    Spectator

    @Toluca (USA) wrote:

    let’s just hope there are no ootp effed up tie breaking hoops to go through…

    As a matter of fact, I was demoted out of the USA a few years back when the differential tie breaker rule was invoked, even though I beat the other team handily in head to head.

    Current rules give the teams with higher runs scored the nod, over teams with pitching and defense.

    I understand that a line must be drawn somewhere, but it is still hard to witness a demotion when one team clearly owned the other.

  • #26122
     Moca DOM 
    Spectator

    I still champion the tie breaker being H2H first then run diff.

    It’s another thing we start talking about on the board, it dies down and we end up never voting on it.

    I will bring it up again

    EDIT: I think the reason the tie breaker was always run diff, was because it’s easier to use the TB when talking about in league and out of league things like draft pick’s in one’s league and also draft pick when promo’d and relegated.

    The crux of our discussion (IIRC) was there is really no way to compare teams from different leagues. It’s just hard to do. B/c really run diff isn’t even fair b/c teams moving down will almost always have negative and the team they tie with will likely be positive. And here we give the positive team the better pick. So we had been working on a formula which better does this, when the conversation was abandoned by others.

  • #26124
     Moca DOM 
    Spectator

    Another thing is that tie breakers in league titles are a little different. They don’t go to just run diff. There is normally a playoff. SO with 3 teams I think there would be a mini round robing to determine the winner.

  • #26125
     Bocas del Toro VEN 
    Spectator

    Ya, I’d say H2H record should be the first tiebreaker…if the teams haven’t played, like in a promotion/relegation scenario, I’m sure something else can be worked out. A 3 way tie…that could get ugly

  • #26126
     Toluca KOR 
    Spectator

    something to note…

    the other leagues will move forward while one is tie-breaking….

    also,
    Head to Head should be number one tie-break with out a doubt. We must have out-thunk ourselves on creating anything different. Obviously if teams have not played each other than different criteria is needed.

    1) head to head
    2) run diff.
    3) home win % ?

  • #26131
     Hong Kong CUB 
    Spectator

    (Actually I usually shifted the playoff series when there was a tie breaker in the past.)

    What a division race in the Cuba Latitude. I don’t think there’s ever been one quite like that.

  • #26133
     Santiago de Cuba USA 
    Spectator

    Roswell goes worst to first in the final sim. Congrats to the Invasion!

  • #26140
     Oaxaca JPN 
    Spectator

    Congrats to Roswell for sweeping the series at home against us. We needed to win just one game, but Roswell’s pitching was too strong holding us to just two runs plated during the series.

    Second place again for Oaxaca.

    Good luck to Roswell in the upcoming series.

  • #26143
     La Habana KOR 
    Spectator

    We suck, good luck to all the weiners!

  • #26161
     Roswell CAN 
    Spectator

    Oh man I was pumped when I downloaded the new file and saw the standings. Really didn’t expect to pull ahead into first place. Great race guys!

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